World Series G5: Dodgers-Yankees Preview, Odds & Prediction
League: MLB 
Posted on: 30 Oct, 2024 at 06:45 PM
Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images
The Yankees took advantage of the Dodgers' bullpen day in Game 4 to rout Los Angeles and force at least a fifth game in the World Series.
That final game of the 2024 season at Yankees Stadium will take place Wednesday night, with New York seeking to send the series back to Los Angeles.
It will also see a rematch between the Game 1 starters, with the Dodgers sending Jack Flaherty to the mound and the Yankees countering with Gerrit Cole.
ODDS AND TRENDS
Like they were for each of the first two games in the Bronx, the Yankees are a consensus 1.5-run favorite ahead of Game 5. They have been the popular choice at BetRivers, where the Yankees have been backed by 78 percent of the run-line money while their -143 moneyline odds have drawn 91 percent of the money and 58 percent of the total bets.
Tuesday night's 11-4 win by New York jacked the average run total per game from 7.0 to 9.0. The Over/Under for Game 5 is 8.0 runs at BetRivers, where the Under has been backed by 68 percent of the money while the Over has garnered 67 percent of the total bets.
KEY STAT
Of the 24 previous teams that fell behind 3-0 in the World Series, 21 were swept in four games and the other three were eliminated in Game 5.
THE NEWS
The Yankees hit .186 in the first three games and scored a total of seven runs. The Dodgers then grabbed a 2-0 lead in the first inning on Wednesday before Anthony Volpe sparked a comeback.
"They're just like, 'Let's go get it,'" New York manager Aaron Boone said of his players. "Again, these guys love playing with each other, and you kind of got that sense before the game. And obviously as the game unfolded, it kind of got better and better tonight.
"It's one game. We wanted to get it to tomorrow, and we've done that. Excited for the opportunity tomorrow."
The Yankees are now hitting .206 in the series after posting their highest-scoring World Series game since a 12-2 win over the Dodgers in Game 5 of the 1978 Fall Classic.
Besides Volpe, Austin Wells and Gleyber Torres homered for New York. Aaron Judge hit an RBI single and walked, and every New York player except Anthony Rizzo reached base at least once.
"We're just going to play our game," Volpe said. "We feel like if we do that and we play the way we know we're capable of playing, they can -- they're obviously a good team, and they can do what they do and whatever they want to do. We just have so much confidence in us that we play ... that way, we feel like we'll win."
The Dodgers had few highlights other than Freddie Freeman setting a pair of major league records by homering in his sixth straight World Series game and becoming the first player to homer in the opening four games of a Fall Classic. Los Angeles mustered just six hits and went 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position.
"We're up 3-1 right now," Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts said. "We feel pretty good about it, but you know that they're going to fight. It doesn't matter what the score is and it doesn't matter when it is; they're going to fight. So, I mean, no lead is safe until you win the fourth game."
STARTING REMATCH
Flaherty (1-2, 6.10 ERA in the postseason) allowed eight runs in three innings during Game 5 of the NLCS against the New York Mets on Oct. 18, but he opened the World Series by allowing two runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings.
Flaherty departed his first World Series start due to hamstring tightness he felt on the pitch before allowing a two-run homer to Giancarlo Stanton on his final delivery, but he said he feels fine now.
"It's caused a little extra work that I normally wouldn't have to do, but I'm feeling good today, felt good yesterday during my bullpen (session)," Flaherty said before Game 4. "At this point, it's not anything I'm worried about."
Cole (1-0, 2.82) will make his fourth career World Series start and first in an elimination game. Cole is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA in World Series starts, and he took a no-decision in Game 1 when he allowed one run on four hits in six innings while throwing 88 pitches.
Cole was not a consideration to start Game 4 on three days of rest because his season began with a 2 1/2-month absence caused by an elbow injury.
"I feel now like I'm in good shape," he said. "I have a reserve while I'm pitching. So if I need to dip into the tank, I can go get it, and then I can go get it again. It's not like a one-time thing.
"And then familiarity both with myself and my delivery, how I'm moving, how well I'm concentrating the ball in the areas of the strike zone that I want to get. I'm ... missing east and west very rarely anymore. Things are more defined."
PREDICTION
The Yankees are still waiting to get Judge on track and are playing on borrowed time if he isn't driving the offense along with Stanton and Juan Soto, because the Dodgers' complementary players are stronger as a group. But the Yankees have Cole on the mound at home, and that should be enough to close off their Yankee Stadium slate in 2024 with a win to send the series back west. -- Yankees 5, Dodgers 4
UP NEXT
If New York can extend the series again, Game 6 would be played Friday in Los Angeles.
--Field Level Media
That final game of the 2024 season at Yankees Stadium will take place Wednesday night, with New York seeking to send the series back to Los Angeles.
It will also see a rematch between the Game 1 starters, with the Dodgers sending Jack Flaherty to the mound and the Yankees countering with Gerrit Cole.
ODDS AND TRENDS
Like they were for each of the first two games in the Bronx, the Yankees are a consensus 1.5-run favorite ahead of Game 5. They have been the popular choice at BetRivers, where the Yankees have been backed by 78 percent of the run-line money while their -143 moneyline odds have drawn 91 percent of the money and 58 percent of the total bets.
Tuesday night's 11-4 win by New York jacked the average run total per game from 7.0 to 9.0. The Over/Under for Game 5 is 8.0 runs at BetRivers, where the Under has been backed by 68 percent of the money while the Over has garnered 67 percent of the total bets.
KEY STAT
Of the 24 previous teams that fell behind 3-0 in the World Series, 21 were swept in four games and the other three were eliminated in Game 5.
THE NEWS
The Yankees hit .186 in the first three games and scored a total of seven runs. The Dodgers then grabbed a 2-0 lead in the first inning on Wednesday before Anthony Volpe sparked a comeback.
"They're just like, 'Let's go get it,'" New York manager Aaron Boone said of his players. "Again, these guys love playing with each other, and you kind of got that sense before the game. And obviously as the game unfolded, it kind of got better and better tonight.
"It's one game. We wanted to get it to tomorrow, and we've done that. Excited for the opportunity tomorrow."
The Yankees are now hitting .206 in the series after posting their highest-scoring World Series game since a 12-2 win over the Dodgers in Game 5 of the 1978 Fall Classic.
Besides Volpe, Austin Wells and Gleyber Torres homered for New York. Aaron Judge hit an RBI single and walked, and every New York player except Anthony Rizzo reached base at least once.
"We're just going to play our game," Volpe said. "We feel like if we do that and we play the way we know we're capable of playing, they can -- they're obviously a good team, and they can do what they do and whatever they want to do. We just have so much confidence in us that we play ... that way, we feel like we'll win."
The Dodgers had few highlights other than Freddie Freeman setting a pair of major league records by homering in his sixth straight World Series game and becoming the first player to homer in the opening four games of a Fall Classic. Los Angeles mustered just six hits and went 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position.
"We're up 3-1 right now," Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts said. "We feel pretty good about it, but you know that they're going to fight. It doesn't matter what the score is and it doesn't matter when it is; they're going to fight. So, I mean, no lead is safe until you win the fourth game."
STARTING REMATCH
Flaherty (1-2, 6.10 ERA in the postseason) allowed eight runs in three innings during Game 5 of the NLCS against the New York Mets on Oct. 18, but he opened the World Series by allowing two runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings.
Flaherty departed his first World Series start due to hamstring tightness he felt on the pitch before allowing a two-run homer to Giancarlo Stanton on his final delivery, but he said he feels fine now.
"It's caused a little extra work that I normally wouldn't have to do, but I'm feeling good today, felt good yesterday during my bullpen (session)," Flaherty said before Game 4. "At this point, it's not anything I'm worried about."
Cole (1-0, 2.82) will make his fourth career World Series start and first in an elimination game. Cole is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA in World Series starts, and he took a no-decision in Game 1 when he allowed one run on four hits in six innings while throwing 88 pitches.
Cole was not a consideration to start Game 4 on three days of rest because his season began with a 2 1/2-month absence caused by an elbow injury.
"I feel now like I'm in good shape," he said. "I have a reserve while I'm pitching. So if I need to dip into the tank, I can go get it, and then I can go get it again. It's not like a one-time thing.
"And then familiarity both with myself and my delivery, how I'm moving, how well I'm concentrating the ball in the areas of the strike zone that I want to get. I'm ... missing east and west very rarely anymore. Things are more defined."
PREDICTION
The Yankees are still waiting to get Judge on track and are playing on borrowed time if he isn't driving the offense along with Stanton and Juan Soto, because the Dodgers' complementary players are stronger as a group. But the Yankees have Cole on the mound at home, and that should be enough to close off their Yankee Stadium slate in 2024 with a win to send the series back west. -- Yankees 5, Dodgers 4
UP NEXT
If New York can extend the series again, Game 6 would be played Friday in Los Angeles.
--Field Level Media
